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Fertilizers 2026:Eastern and Western Europe, Baltic states & Balkans, Vienna, Austria, 20-22 January 2026
TOP STORY
European BD market sees longest MCP decline in 202523 Dec 2025 / ChemCourier. Butadiene&C4s Weekly / prices & market situation

   Participants in the European butadiene market have been navigating through quite a turbulent environment throughout 2025. It has proved a year of abysmal records. The monthly contract price (MCP) went into the most extended losing streak since at least 2018 in April 2025. The MCP has been on a downtrend for 10 months now, plummeting from €1,050/t in March 2025 to €700/t in January 2026. This drop has far outstripped that in feedstock naphtha value in the same period: butadiene MCP has lost about 33.3% and naphtha has only 13.5%. Uncertain outlook for end-user demand remains the greatest concern affecting sentiments in the BD and the adjacent markets.

   In September, Arlanxeo stated it was going to shut its loss-making synthetic rubber facility in Port Jerome, France, permanently. The company stopped the plant with the annual capacity of 120,000 t of PBR and 20,000 t of E-SBR for a planned turnaround in September and never restarted it after the announcement. Reminder: the production site used to have BD delivered from ExxonMobil’s unit in Notre-Dame-de-Gravenchon, France, by pipeline but had to switch to delivery by rail after the closedown of ExxonMobil’s site back in 2024. A market source shared the information that Butachimie, another major European BD consumer, was mulling over the permanent closure of its adiponitrile (ADN) facility in Chalampe, France, but the company declined to confirm it formally at press time. Reminder: the plant is designed to consume up to 1,000 t of BD a day when fully operational. Invista a co-owner of Butachimie operates two other ADN facilities in the United States and China, and the French production site appears to be in the most challenging position compared with the others due to higher production costs and weak domestic demand.

   Weak demand along the BD value chain in Europe, without any signs of fundamental improvement in 2026 seen, has driven trade in the locally produced material out of the region. As BD export to Asia remains the primary focus for many European market players, European prices have become especially sensitive to developments in the Far East. In 2025, at least 16 vessels were fixed to transport an estimated 152,000 t of BD from Europe to Asia, according to ChemCourier’s data. To compare, 2024 saw just 10 vessels chartered for the deep-sea export of about 120,500 t of BD from Europe. This surge in exports has happened despite a series of olefin plant closedowns across Europe, which suggests that regional demand was decreasing at a faster pace than supply. Reminder: in 2025, Versalis has ceased operations at two Italian crackers, one in Brindisi in March and the other in Priolo in July.

   The European BD market will continue transforming in 2026 and 2027. While there is little optimism about demand along the supply chain (see the Macroeconomics part of ChemCouriers butadiene contract price forecast), CC4 and BD supply is poised to contract further in the region once INEOS commissions its Project One, an 1.45 million-tpy ethane cracker, in Antwerp, Belgium, at the end of 2026 or the beginning of 2027. The facility is expected to meet a substantial part of regional demand for ethylene without producing CC4. Some conventional naphtha crackers are scheduled for the permanent closure around that time. TotalEnergies is going to halt one out of its two crackers in Antwerp permanently by end 2027. Dow announced it would close down its cracker in Bohlen, Germany, by Q4 2027. All in all, expectations of dwindling supply and persistently weak demand suggest that the European BD market is moving towards self-sufficiency, with slimming chances for the export to Asia in the coming years.

 

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Braskem reports sharp Q3 recovery, better utilisation in the US/Europe28 Nov 2025 / ChemCourier. Polyethylene Market Weekly / ChemCourier. Polypropylene Market Weekly / ChemCourier. PVC Market Weekly / statistics

image1.jpegBrazilian petrochemical giant Braskem reported a consolidated recurring EBITDA of $150 million in Q3 2025. This represents a 104% increase compared to Q2, which was $74 million, though it remains 65% lower than in the same period last year, when it reached $432 million.

The company significantly narrowed its net loss to $1 million, showing a recovery from a $45 million loss in Q2 2025 and a $106 million loss in Q3 2024.

Net revenue reached $3,175 million, remaining largely flat (+1%) quarter-on-quarter but declining by 17% year-on-year. The net financial result was negative at $164 million, compared to negative $2 million in the previous quarter and negative $420 million a year ago.

In the home market, resin sales fell to 787,000 t, down 5% quarter-on-quarter and 9% year-on-year. The company attributed this to higher imports entering Brazil in July and August, alongside weaker PP demand. Export sales of resins remained stable at 229,000 t (+1% quarter-on-quarter) and showed growth of 9% year-on-year.

The average utilisation rate of petrochemical crackers dropped to 65%, down 9 percentage points from Q2 and 8 p.p. lower than in Q3 2024. This was primarily due to a scheduled 33-day maintenance shutdown at the Rio de Janeiro complex and a strategy to optimise production at naphtha-based plants. However, Braskem noted that positive effects from PE anti-dumping measures helped offset pressure on spreads.

The utilisation rate in the USA and Europe rose to 79%, up 5 p.p. quarter-on-quarter and 3 p.p. year-on-year, driven by the normalisation of operations and inventory replenishment in the USA. However, PP sales volumes dipped slightly to 495,000 t (-2% quarter-on-quarter, -1% year-on-year). While the US market recovered, sales in Europe were impacted by lower industrial activity due to seasonal factors.

Regarding the Mexican market, Braskem Idesa completed a major general maintenance shutdown at its petrochemical complex on 31 July. Consequently, PE sales volumes decreased to 146,000 t, down 6% quarter-on-quarter and significantly lower (-30%) compared to the same period last year due to reduced product availability.

The utilisation rate recovered slightly to 47% (+3 p.p. quarter-on-quarter) but remained 27 p.p. lower than in Q3 2024. A key development in the quarter was the start of ethane supplies from the new Puerto Quimica Mexico Terminal, which is expected to reduce the company's reliance on the Fast Track solution.

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OMV and ADNOC polyolefins merger set to close in early 202611 Nov 2025 / ChemCourier. Polyethylene Market Weekly / ChemCourier. Polypropylene Market Weekly / company news

image1.jpegEarlier this year, OMV and the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) announced they signed a landmark agreement to merge their respective polymer subsidiaries — Borealis and Borouge — into a single entity named Borouge Group International, creating what will become the world’s fourth-largest polyolefins producer.

The new company, headquartered in Vienna with regional headquarters in Abu Dhabi, will have a combined enterprise value exceeding $60 billion and an annual production capacity of over 13 million t. Both OMV and ADNOC will hold equal shareholdings of 46.94% in the group. OMV will contribute €1.6 billion in cash, adjusted for dividends paid before closing.

As part of the deal, Borouge Group International will acquire Nova Chemicals for $13.4 billion, expanding its footprint in North America and adding significant downstream and specialty capabilities.

OMV said the move marks a major milestone in its Strategy 2030 to shift from oil and gas towards chemicals and advanced materials, while ADNOC continues to pursue its diversification and integration ambitions.

The combination aims to unlock annual synergies of around $500 million, with 75% expected to be realised within the first three years after closing. Once Borouge 4 — the $7.5 billion expansion project in Ruwais — becomes operational, it will be contributed to the new company by end-2026. The project remains on track for completion by the end of 2025, further boosting the group’s production capacity and reinforcing its presence in Asia and the Middle East.

The merger will create a company second only to Sinopec, ExxonMobil, and Dow in terms of global polyolefin capacity, positioning Borouge Group International among the top four players worldwide.

What it means for the market

The transaction represents a transformative shift in the global polyolefins landscape, consolidating European, Middle Eastern, and North American production under a single entity. The integration of Borealis, Borouge, and Nova will significantly enhance vertical integration and improve feedstock flexibility, giving the new group access to low-cost ethane- and naphtha-based production.

For Europe, the merger may intensify competition among existing producers.

The transaction is expected to close in Q1 2026. Once completed, Borouge Group International will become a major integrated force in global polyolefins, with its scale, geographic diversity, and technology integration likely to reshape trade flows and competition across Europe, the Middle East, and beyond.

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Pricing
ChemCourier. Polyolefins Market Weekly
ChemCourier. PVC Market Weekly
ChemCourier. Polyolefins Market Weekly
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News
Europe
23 Dec 2025The European Commission presented the 'Automotive Package' on 16 December, introducing a significant revision to the bloc's decarbonisation strategy. The regulator has
23 Dec 2025Participants in the European butadiene market have been navigating through quite a turbulent environment throughout 2025. It has proved a year of abysmal records. The
23 Dec 2025BD demand stable Feedstock may become scarce HIP-Petrohemija maintains E-SBR price The butadiene market has been unchanged in Eastern Europe this week. Regional
CIS
22 Dec 2025The Global Container Freight Index increased by $132 or 6.8%, week on week, to $2,066, according to the Freightos Baltic Index (FBX). Shipping rates for the carriage of
22 Dec 2025Dear subscribers, please, note that the double issue of PVC Market Weekly 1—2 (560—561) will be published on 9 January 2026 due to the Christmas and New Year holiday
22 Dec 2025The Russian synthetic rubber market has seen a minor month-on-month increase in demand in December 2025. Still, consumer activity has remained below expectations and the
Americas
23 Dec 2025On 19 December, Union Pacific Corporation and Norfolk Southern Corporation have filed an application with the Surface Transportation Board to merge and create America's
22 Dec 2025The Global Container Freight Index increased by $132 or 6.8%, week on week, to $2,066, according to the Freightos Baltic Index (FBX). Shipping rates for the carriage of
22 Dec 2025Dear subscribers, please, note that the double issue of PVC Market Weekly 1—2 (560—561) will be published on 9 January 2026 due to the Christmas and New Year holiday
Asia
23 Dec 2025The Taiwanese Formosa Plastics Corporation has either decreased or maintained PVC prices for January shipments. New offers are set at $640/t CFR China (unchanged m-o-m),
23 Dec 2025Ethylene quotes static on weak demand Sinopec Maoming PC to resume production in 2026 Ethylene to leave Japan for China The average ethylene price was unchanged week
23 Dec 2025Japanese PVC depreciated this week amid lower deals. While initial offers held steady at $660—670/t CFR India, actual sales only materialized at discounted rates.
Middle East
22 Dec 2025The Global Container Freight Index increased by $132 or 6.8%, week on week, to $2,066, according to the Freightos Baltic Index (FBX). Shipping rates for the carriage of
22 Dec 2025Dear subscribers, please, note that the double issue of PVC Market Weekly 1—2 (560—561) will be published on 9 January 2026 due to the Christmas and New Year holiday
19 Dec 2025Dear subscribers, please, note that the double issues of Polyethylene Market Weekly 1—2 (454—455), Polyethylene Market Weekly 1—2 (454—455) PL_UA_Update will be
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